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Binghamton

Model Score Rank
Adj EM-15.23315
Elo1441.63252
RPI0.445279
Updated through 2025-04-07

Efficiency Margin Rank Trend

Elo Rank Trend

RPI Rank Trend


About the models: The Adj EM model (Adjusted Efficiency Margin) is the difference between the Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Essentially, it is a PPP (points per possession) differential adjusted for the quality of competition. The data points that are plotted are the calculated efficiency margins on each particular date. In practice, the adjusted offensive and defensive efficiencies for each game change with each new game result. So, the effect of any particular game result becomes less important as the season unfolds. This is evident in the plot as there are fairly large efficiency fluctations at the beginning of each new season. The effect is similar with the RPI: the scores and ranks become more stable as the season progresses.

The Elo model does not reset each year and so does not suffer from the same sort of early season data deficiency issues as season efficiency margins and RPI. The downside of this is that the model tends to lag the Adj EM and RPI models which quickly reflect changes in coaching or team personnel. The Elo model is used extensively at fivethirtyeight for their NFL and NBA predictive models. This Elo model has the following parameters: Starting Elo=1500, K=20, Home Court Advantage = 100; At the beginning of each new season, starting Elo is 0.75 previous season Elo + 0.25 Mean Elo (1505).

DateOpponentSiteTypeResultScoreRecord (Conf)
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Offense: Vitals

Shooting


2024-25 Season Mean: 0.530
Rank: 3 of 9 in AEC, 96 of 364 in D1
Trend: Strongly Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 8 of 9 in AEC, 298 of 364 in D1
96th

Turnovers


2024-25 Season Mean: 0.187
Rank: 9 of 9 in AEC, 338 of 364 in D1
Trend: Moderately Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 4 of 9 in AEC, 100 of 364 in D1
338th

Off Reb Pct


2024-25 Season Mean: 0.267
Rank: 5 of 9 in AEC, 274 of 364 in D1
Trend: Weakly Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 4 of 9 in AEC, 127 of 364 in D1
274th

FT Rate


2024-25 Season Mean: 0.340
Rank: 1 of 9 in AEC, 165 of 364 in D1
Trend: Weakly Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 2 of 9 in AEC, 119 of 364 in D1
165th

Defense: Vitals

Opp Shooting


2024-25 Season Mean: 0.492
Rank: 3 of 9 in AEC, 94 of 364 in D1
Trend: Moderately Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 6 of 9 in AEC, 242 of 364 in D1
94th

Opp Turnovers


2024-25 Season Mean: 0.122
Rank: 9 of 9 in AEC, 357 of 364 in D1
Trend: Weakly Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 4 of 9 in AEC, 94 of 364 in D1
357th

Def Reb Pct


2024-25 Season Mean: 0.764
Rank: 2 of 9 in AEC, 31 of 364 in D1
Trend: Moderately Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 5 of 9 in AEC, 234 of 364 in D1
31st

Opp FT Rate


2024-25 Season Mean: 0.324
Rank: 6 of 9 in AEC, 154 of 364 in D1
Trend: Strongly Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 1 of 9 in AEC, 5 of 364 in D1
154th

Note: These are Dean Oliver's Four Factors of Basketball Success. It's fairly intuitive: When a team has the ball, they can do one of 4 things: (1) Get a bucket, (2) Turn the ball over, (3) Shoot the ball, miss, then rebound to retain possession, or (4) Get fouled and either retain possession or head to the line. These four factors are measured by (1) Effective Field Goal percentage (EFG) = (FGM + 0.5*3FGM)/FGA, (2) Turnover Pct = # TOs/Possessions, (3) Offensive Rebounding % = OR/(OR+Opp DR), and (4) Free Throw Rate = FTA/FGA. The stats are repeated on the defensive side using the opponents' numbers.

Adj Off Eff

Season
Avg: 96.63
315th

FGM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 36.6%
234th

FGA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 79.4%
341st

FG Pct

Season
Avg: 46.4%
89th

2Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 63.3%
120th

2PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 26.1%
186th

2PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 50.3%
204th

2Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 52.4%
148th

3Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 36.7%
245th

3PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 10.5%
226th

3PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 29.1%
289th

3Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 35.7%
83rd

FT Rate

Season
Avg: 34.0%
165th

FTM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 18.2%
262nd

FTA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 26.3%
229th

FT Pct

Season
Avg: 69.5%
263rd

Assists per FGM

Season
Avg: 52.1%
171st

Balls Stolen Per Poss

Season
Avg: 11.5%
357th

Balls Blocked Per FGA

Season
Avg: 5.6%
329th

Fouls Drawn Per Poss

Season
Avg: 22.9%
231st

Turnovers

Season
Avg: 18.7%
338th

Off Reb Pct

Season
Avg: 26.7%
274th

Off Tempo

Season
Avg: 68.40
248th

Points per Poss

Season
Avg: 1.02
272nd

Shooting

Season
Avg: 0.53
96th

Adj Def Eff

Season
Avg: 111.86
289th

Opp FGM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 37.0%
189th

Opp FGA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 86.4%
310th

Opp FG Pct (%)

Season
Avg: 43.0%
105th

Opp 2Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 60.1%
143rd

Opp 2PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 26.2%
203rd

Opp 2PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 51.9%
212th

Opp 2Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 50.8%
169th

Opp 3Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 39.9%
222nd

Opp 3PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 10.8%
165th

Opp 3PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 34.5%
268th

Opp 3Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 31.1%
42nd

Opp FT Rate

Season
Avg: 32.4%
154th

Opp FTM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 19.7%
174th

Opp FTA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 27.3%
174th

Opp FT Pct

Season
Avg: 72.4%
223rd

Opp Assists per FGM

Season
Avg: 45.3%
39th

Steals Per Poss

Season
Avg: 6.6%
353rd

Blocks Per FGA

Season
Avg: 4.4%
208th

Fouls Per Poss

Season
Avg: 23.4%
121st

Opp Turnovers

Season
Avg: 12.2%
357th

Def Reb Pct

Season
Avg: 76.4%
31st

Opp Off Tempo

Season
Avg: 68.80
217th

Opp Points per Poss

Season
Avg: 1.04
180th

Opp Shooting

Season
Avg: 0.5%
94th
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