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Texas Tech

Model Score Rank
Adj EM29.758
Elo1722.8115
RPI0.60721
Updated through 2025-04-07

Efficiency Margin Rank Trend

Elo Rank Trend

RPI Rank Trend


About the models: The Adj EM model (Adjusted Efficiency Margin) is the difference between the Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Essentially, it is a PPP (points per possession) differential adjusted for the quality of competition. The data points that are plotted are the calculated efficiency margins on each particular date. In practice, the adjusted offensive and defensive efficiencies for each game change with each new game result. So, the effect of any particular game result becomes less important as the season unfolds. This is evident in the plot as there are fairly large efficiency fluctations at the beginning of each new season. The effect is similar with the RPI: the scores and ranks become more stable as the season progresses.

The Elo model does not reset each year and so does not suffer from the same sort of early season data deficiency issues as season efficiency margins and RPI. The downside of this is that the model tends to lag the Adj EM and RPI models which quickly reflect changes in coaching or team personnel. The Elo model is used extensively at fivethirtyeight for their NFL and NBA predictive models. This Elo model has the following parameters: Starting Elo=1500, K=20, Home Court Advantage = 100; At the beginning of each new season, starting Elo is 0.75 previous season Elo + 0.25 Mean Elo (1505).

DateOpponentSiteTypeResultScoreRecord (Conf)
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Offense: Vitals

Shooting


2024-25 Season Mean: 0.549
Rank: 2 of 16 in BIG12, 46 of 364 in D1
Trend: Strongly Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 12 of 16 in BIG12, 285 of 364 in D1
46th

Turnovers


2024-25 Season Mean: 0.131
Rank: 2 of 16 in BIG12, 17 of 364 in D1
Trend: Strongly Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 1 of 16 in BIG12, 3 of 364 in D1
17th

Off Reb Pct


2024-25 Season Mean: 0.320
Rank: 5 of 16 in BIG12, 116 of 364 in D1
Trend: Weakly Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 9 of 16 in BIG12, 89 of 364 in D1
116th

FT Rate


2024-25 Season Mean: 0.297
Rank: 11 of 16 in BIG12, 296 of 364 in D1
Trend: Moderately Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 8 of 16 in BIG12, 264 of 364 in D1
296th

Defense: Vitals

Opp Shooting


2024-25 Season Mean: 0.481
Rank: 4 of 16 in BIG12, 56 of 364 in D1
Trend: Moderately Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 8 of 16 in BIG12, 244 of 364 in D1
56th

Opp Turnovers


2024-25 Season Mean: 0.160
Rank: 10 of 16 in BIG12, 171 of 364 in D1
Trend: Strongly Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 14 of 16 in BIG12, 334 of 364 in D1
171st

Def Reb Pct


2024-25 Season Mean: 0.736
Rank: 8 of 16 in BIG12, 126 of 364 in D1
Trend: Moderately Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 12 of 16 in BIG12, 244 of 364 in D1
126th

Opp FT Rate


2024-25 Season Mean: 0.340
Rank: 12 of 16 in BIG12, 199 of 364 in D1
Trend: Weakly Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 8 of 16 in BIG12, 231 of 364 in D1
199th

Note: These are Dean Oliver's Four Factors of Basketball Success. It's fairly intuitive: When a team has the ball, they can do one of 4 things: (1) Get a bucket, (2) Turn the ball over, (3) Shoot the ball, miss, then rebound to retain possession, or (4) Get fouled and either retain possession or head to the line. These four factors are measured by (1) Effective Field Goal percentage (EFG) = (FGM + 0.5*3FGM)/FGA, (2) Turnover Pct = # TOs/Possessions, (3) Offensive Rebounding % = OR/(OR+Opp DR), and (4) Free Throw Rate = FTA/FGA. The stats are repeated on the defensive side using the opponents' numbers.

Adj Off Eff

Season
Avg: 124.56
5th

FGM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 41.5%
9th

FGA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 89.2%
13th

FG Pct

Season
Avg: 46.7%
70th

2Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 55.3%
306th

2PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 27.0%
124th

2PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 49.5%
228th

2Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 55.1%
56th

3Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 44.7%
59th

3PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 14.6%
22nd

3PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 39.8%
29th

3Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 36.3%
55th

FT Rate

Season
Avg: 29.7%
296th

FTM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 19.7%
174th

FTA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 26.0%
239th

FT Pct

Season
Avg: 75.7%
58th

Assists per FGM

Season
Avg: 57.4%
60th

Balls Stolen Per Poss

Season
Avg: 8.4%
78th

Balls Blocked Per FGA

Season
Avg: 3.9%
65th

Fouls Drawn Per Poss

Season
Avg: 23.3%
202nd

Turnovers

Season
Avg: 13.1%
17th

Off Reb Pct

Season
Avg: 32.0%
116th

Off Tempo

Season
Avg: 68.89
230th

Points per Poss

Season
Avg: 1.17
8th

Shooting

Season
Avg: 0.55
46th

Adj Def Eff

Season
Avg: 94.81
31st

Opp FGM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 35.3%
86th

Opp FGA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 83.4%
166th

Opp FG Pct (%)

Season
Avg: 42.6%
81st

Opp 2Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 65.3%
318th

Opp 2PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 26.0%
193rd

Opp 2PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 54.5%
304th

Opp 2Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 48.1%
57th

Opp 3Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 34.7%
47th

Opp 3PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 9.3%
30th

Opp 3PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 28.9%
48th

Opp 3Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 32.2%
95th

Opp FT Rate

Season
Avg: 34.0%
199th

Opp FTM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 19.9%
191st

Opp FTA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 27.9%
207th

Opp FT Pct

Season
Avg: 70.1%
96th

Opp Assists per FGM

Season
Avg: 46.5%
53rd

Steals Per Poss

Season
Avg: 9.1%
215th

Blocks Per FGA

Season
Avg: 4.6%
186th

Fouls Per Poss

Season
Avg: 23.0%
94th

Opp Turnovers

Season
Avg: 16.0%
171st

Def Reb Pct

Season
Avg: 73.6%
126th

Opp Off Tempo

Season
Avg: 68.48
231st

Opp Points per Poss

Season
Avg: 1.00
65th

Opp Shooting

Season
Avg: 0.5%
56th
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