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South Carolina

Model Score Rank
Adj EM10.1683
Elo1513.71161
RPI0.514139
Updated through 2025-04-07

Efficiency Margin Rank Trend

Elo Rank Trend

RPI Rank Trend


About the models: The Adj EM model (Adjusted Efficiency Margin) is the difference between the Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Essentially, it is a PPP (points per possession) differential adjusted for the quality of competition. The data points that are plotted are the calculated efficiency margins on each particular date. In practice, the adjusted offensive and defensive efficiencies for each game change with each new game result. So, the effect of any particular game result becomes less important as the season unfolds. This is evident in the plot as there are fairly large efficiency fluctations at the beginning of each new season. The effect is similar with the RPI: the scores and ranks become more stable as the season progresses.

The Elo model does not reset each year and so does not suffer from the same sort of early season data deficiency issues as season efficiency margins and RPI. The downside of this is that the model tends to lag the Adj EM and RPI models which quickly reflect changes in coaching or team personnel. The Elo model is used extensively at fivethirtyeight for their NFL and NBA predictive models. This Elo model has the following parameters: Starting Elo=1500, K=20, Home Court Advantage = 100; At the beginning of each new season, starting Elo is 0.75 previous season Elo + 0.25 Mean Elo (1505).

DateOpponentSiteTypeResultScoreRecord (Conf)
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Offense: Vitals

Shooting


2024-25 Season Mean: 0.490
Rank: 15 of 16 in SEC, 293 of 364 in D1
Trend: Moderately Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 11 of 16 in SEC, 247 of 364 in D1
293rd

Turnovers


2024-25 Season Mean: 0.170
Rank: 14 of 16 in SEC, 266 of 364 in D1
Trend: Moderately Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 2 of 16 in SEC, 86 of 364 in D1
266th

Off Reb Pct


2024-25 Season Mean: 0.276
Rank: 11 of 16 in SEC, 241 of 364 in D1
Trend: Moderately Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 11 of 16 in SEC, 203 of 364 in D1
241st

FT Rate


2024-25 Season Mean: 0.437
Rank: 2 of 16 in SEC, 12 of 364 in D1
Trend: Weakly Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 11 of 16 in SEC, 139 of 364 in D1
12th

Defense: Vitals

Opp Shooting


2024-25 Season Mean: 0.515
Rank: 14 of 16 in SEC, 212 of 364 in D1
Trend: Moderately Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 10 of 16 in SEC, 264 of 364 in D1
212th

Opp Turnovers


2024-25 Season Mean: 0.145
Rank: 14 of 16 in SEC, 286 of 364 in D1
Trend: Moderately Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 10 of 16 in SEC, 233 of 364 in D1
286th

Def Reb Pct


2024-25 Season Mean: 0.754
Rank: 1 of 16 in SEC, 54 of 364 in D1
Trend: Weakly Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 3 of 16 in SEC, 117 of 364 in D1
54th

Opp FT Rate


2024-25 Season Mean: 0.311
Rank: 5 of 16 in SEC, 120 of 364 in D1
Trend: Weakly Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 10 of 16 in SEC, 261 of 364 in D1
120th

Note: These are Dean Oliver's Four Factors of Basketball Success. It's fairly intuitive: When a team has the ball, they can do one of 4 things: (1) Get a bucket, (2) Turn the ball over, (3) Shoot the ball, miss, then rebound to retain possession, or (4) Get fouled and either retain possession or head to the line. These four factors are measured by (1) Effective Field Goal percentage (EFG) = (FGM + 0.5*3FGM)/FGA, (2) Turnover Pct = # TOs/Possessions, (3) Offensive Rebounding % = OR/(OR+Opp DR), and (4) Free Throw Rate = FTA/FGA. The stats are repeated on the defensive side using the opponents' numbers.

Adj Off Eff

Season
Avg: 108.12
120th

FGM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 33.7%
344th

FGA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 78.8%
351st

FG Pct

Season
Avg: 42.8%
287th

2Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 61.0%
189th

2PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 23.8%
309th

2PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 47.9%
268th

2Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 50.1%
251st

3Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 39.0%
176th

3PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 9.8%
283rd

3PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 30.9%
233rd

3Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 31.6%
297th

FT Rate

Season
Avg: 43.7%
12th

FTM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 24.2%
20th

FTA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 33.9%
15th

FT Pct

Season
Avg: 71.1%
213th

Assists per FGM

Season
Avg: 54.5%
112th

Balls Stolen Per Poss

Season
Avg: 11.3%
352nd

Balls Blocked Per FGA

Season
Avg: 6.7%
362nd

Fouls Drawn Per Poss

Season
Avg: 27.3%
17th

Turnovers

Season
Avg: 17.0%
266th

Off Reb Pct

Season
Avg: 27.6%
241st

Off Tempo

Season
Avg: 68.99
226th

Points per Poss

Season
Avg: 1.01
286th

Shooting

Season
Avg: 0.49
293rd

Adj Def Eff

Season
Avg: 97.96
58th

Opp FGM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 38.4%
276th

Opp FGA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 84.5%
226th

Opp FG Pct (%)

Season
Avg: 45.5%
247th

Opp 2Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 65.3%
319th

Opp 2PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 28.3%
310th

Opp 2PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 55.3%
326th

Opp 2Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 51.5%
197th

Opp 3Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 34.7%
46th

Opp 3PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 10.2%
97th

Opp 3PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 29.2%
52nd

Opp 3Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 34.5%
236th

Opp FT Rate

Season
Avg: 31.1%
120th

Opp FTM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 18.2%
103rd

Opp FTA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 25.6%
120th

Opp FT Pct

Season
Avg: 71.7%
179th

Opp Assists per FGM

Season
Avg: 49.0%
110th

Steals Per Poss

Season
Avg: 8.3%
288th

Blocks Per FGA

Season
Avg: 4.3%
223rd

Fouls Per Poss

Season
Avg: 23.6%
141st

Opp Turnovers

Season
Avg: 14.5%
286th

Def Reb Pct

Season
Avg: 75.4%
54th

Opp Off Tempo

Season
Avg: 67.91
269th

Opp Points per Poss

Season
Avg: 1.05
210th

Opp Shooting

Season
Avg: 0.5%
212th
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