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West Virginia

Model Score Rank
Adj EM19.1540
Elo1560.99110
RPI0.56860
Updated through 2025-04-07

Efficiency Margin Rank Trend

Elo Rank Trend

RPI Rank Trend


About the models: The Adj EM model (Adjusted Efficiency Margin) is the difference between the Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Essentially, it is a PPP (points per possession) differential adjusted for the quality of competition. The data points that are plotted are the calculated efficiency margins on each particular date. In practice, the adjusted offensive and defensive efficiencies for each game change with each new game result. So, the effect of any particular game result becomes less important as the season unfolds. This is evident in the plot as there are fairly large efficiency fluctations at the beginning of each new season. The effect is similar with the RPI: the scores and ranks become more stable as the season progresses.

The Elo model does not reset each year and so does not suffer from the same sort of early season data deficiency issues as season efficiency margins and RPI. The downside of this is that the model tends to lag the Adj EM and RPI models which quickly reflect changes in coaching or team personnel. The Elo model is used extensively at fivethirtyeight for their NFL and NBA predictive models. This Elo model has the following parameters: Starting Elo=1500, K=20, Home Court Advantage = 100; At the beginning of each new season, starting Elo is 0.75 previous season Elo + 0.25 Mean Elo (1505).

DateOpponentSiteTypeResultScoreRecord (Conf)
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Offense: Vitals

Shooting


2024-25 Season Mean: 0.502
Rank: 13 of 16 in BIG12, 246 of 364 in D1
Trend: Moderately Down, Weakening
Trend Rank: 8 of 16 in BIG12, 218 of 364 in D1
246th

Turnovers


2024-25 Season Mean: 0.148
Rank: 5 of 16 in BIG12, 93 of 364 in D1
Trend: Moderately Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 14 of 16 in BIG12, 303 of 364 in D1
93rd

Off Reb Pct


2024-25 Season Mean: 0.236
Rank: 15 of 16 in BIG12, 329 of 364 in D1
Trend: Moderately Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 4 of 16 in BIG12, 35 of 364 in D1
329th

FT Rate


2024-25 Season Mean: 0.259
Rank: 14 of 16 in BIG12, 350 of 364 in D1
Trend: Moderately Down, Weakening
Trend Rank: 11 of 16 in BIG12, 281 of 364 in D1
350th

Defense: Vitals

Opp Shooting


2024-25 Season Mean: 0.464
Rank: 2 of 16 in BIG12, 15 of 364 in D1
Trend: Weakly Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 6 of 16 in BIG12, 189 of 364 in D1
15th

Opp Turnovers


2024-25 Season Mean: 0.180
Rank: 5 of 16 in BIG12, 63 of 364 in D1
Trend: Weakly Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 3 of 16 in BIG12, 87 of 364 in D1
63rd

Def Reb Pct


2024-25 Season Mean: 0.706
Rank: 14 of 16 in BIG12, 279 of 364 in D1
Trend: Moderately Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 5 of 16 in BIG12, 105 of 364 in D1
279th

Opp FT Rate


2024-25 Season Mean: 0.329
Rank: 10 of 16 in BIG12, 169 of 364 in D1
Trend: Strongly Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 16 of 16 in BIG12, 332 of 364 in D1
169th

Note: These are Dean Oliver's Four Factors of Basketball Success. It's fairly intuitive: When a team has the ball, they can do one of 4 things: (1) Get a bucket, (2) Turn the ball over, (3) Shoot the ball, miss, then rebound to retain possession, or (4) Get fouled and either retain possession or head to the line. These four factors are measured by (1) Effective Field Goal percentage (EFG) = (FGM + 0.5*3FGM)/FGA, (2) Turnover Pct = # TOs/Possessions, (3) Offensive Rebounding % = OR/(OR+Opp DR), and (4) Free Throw Rate = FTA/FGA. The stats are repeated on the defensive side using the opponents' numbers.

Adj Off Eff

Season
Avg: 110.15
92nd

FGM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 36.6%
232nd

FGA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 86.3%
75th

FG Pct

Season
Avg: 42.7%
294th

2Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 54.1%
321st

2PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 23.7%
315th

2PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 46.7%
297th

2Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 51.4%
195th

3Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 45.9%
44th

3PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 12.9%
64th

3PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 39.6%
30th

3Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 32.5%
250th

FT Rate

Season
Avg: 25.9%
350th

FTM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 15.6%
342nd

FTA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 21.8%
346th

FT Pct

Season
Avg: 70.3%
243rd

Assists per FGM

Season
Avg: 56.2%
77th

Balls Stolen Per Poss

Season
Avg: 8.3%
74th

Balls Blocked Per FGA

Season
Avg: 4.3%
137th

Fouls Drawn Per Poss

Season
Avg: 21.5%
309th

Turnovers

Season
Avg: 14.8%
93rd

Off Reb Pct

Season
Avg: 23.6%
329th

Off Tempo

Season
Avg: 66.79
316th

Points per Poss

Season
Avg: 1.02
274th

Shooting

Season
Avg: 0.50
246th

Adj Def Eff

Season
Avg: 91.00
12th

Opp FGM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 34.2%
44th

Opp FGA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 83.2%
162nd

Opp FG Pct (%)

Season
Avg: 40.9%
25th

Opp 2Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 63.5%
267th

Opp 2PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 25.1%
133rd

Opp 2PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 52.9%
249th

Opp 2Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 47.6%
48th

Opp 3Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 36.5%
98th

Opp 3PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 9.1%
20th

Opp 3PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 30.3%
95th

Opp 3Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 29.2%
9th

Opp FT Rate

Season
Avg: 32.9%
169th

Opp FTM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 19.6%
172nd

Opp FTA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 26.5%
151st

Opp FT Pct

Season
Avg: 73.9%
286th

Opp Assists per FGM

Season
Avg: 46.1%
46th

Steals Per Poss

Season
Avg: 11.3%
55th

Blocks Per FGA

Season
Avg: 6.0%
65th

Fouls Per Poss

Season
Avg: 24.8%
209th

Opp Turnovers

Season
Avg: 18.0%
63rd

Def Reb Pct

Season
Avg: 70.6%
279th

Opp Off Tempo

Season
Avg: 67.05
304th

Opp Points per Poss

Season
Avg: 0.97
22nd

Opp Shooting

Season
Avg: 0.5%
15th
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