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Oklahoma

Model Score Rank
Adj EM18.8844
Elo1591.1181
RPI0.55964
Updated through 2025-04-07

Efficiency Margin Rank Trend

Elo Rank Trend

RPI Rank Trend


About the models: The Adj EM model (Adjusted Efficiency Margin) is the difference between the Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Essentially, it is a PPP (points per possession) differential adjusted for the quality of competition. The data points that are plotted are the calculated efficiency margins on each particular date. In practice, the adjusted offensive and defensive efficiencies for each game change with each new game result. So, the effect of any particular game result becomes less important as the season unfolds. This is evident in the plot as there are fairly large efficiency fluctations at the beginning of each new season. The effect is similar with the RPI: the scores and ranks become more stable as the season progresses.

The Elo model does not reset each year and so does not suffer from the same sort of early season data deficiency issues as season efficiency margins and RPI. The downside of this is that the model tends to lag the Adj EM and RPI models which quickly reflect changes in coaching or team personnel. The Elo model is used extensively at fivethirtyeight for their NFL and NBA predictive models. This Elo model has the following parameters: Starting Elo=1500, K=20, Home Court Advantage = 100; At the beginning of each new season, starting Elo is 0.75 previous season Elo + 0.25 Mean Elo (1505).

DateOpponentSiteTypeResultScoreRecord (Conf)
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Offense: Vitals

Shooting


2024-25 Season Mean: 0.545
Rank: 6 of 16 in SEC, 50 of 364 in D1
Trend: Moderately Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 13 of 16 in SEC, 273 of 364 in D1
50th

Turnovers


2024-25 Season Mean: 0.163
Rank: 12 of 16 in SEC, 209 of 364 in D1
Trend: Strongly Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 1 of 16 in SEC, 48 of 364 in D1
209th

Off Reb Pct


2024-25 Season Mean: 0.251
Rank: 15 of 16 in SEC, 304 of 364 in D1
Trend: Moderately Down, Weakening
Trend Rank: 12 of 16 in SEC, 220 of 364 in D1
304th

FT Rate


2024-25 Season Mean: 0.413
Rank: 4 of 16 in SEC, 24 of 364 in D1
Trend: Moderately Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 5 of 16 in SEC, 72 of 364 in D1
24th

Defense: Vitals

Opp Shooting


2024-25 Season Mean: 0.511
Rank: 13 of 16 in SEC, 189 of 364 in D1
Trend: Moderately Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 8 of 16 in SEC, 237 of 364 in D1
189th

Opp Turnovers


2024-25 Season Mean: 0.173
Rank: 6 of 16 in SEC, 91 of 364 in D1
Trend: Weakly Down, Weakening
Trend Rank: 6 of 16 in SEC, 177 of 364 in D1
91st

Def Reb Pct


2024-25 Season Mean: 0.707
Rank: 13 of 16 in SEC, 278 of 364 in D1
Trend: Moderately Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 8 of 16 in SEC, 236 of 364 in D1
278th

Opp FT Rate


2024-25 Season Mean: 0.360
Rank: 11 of 16 in SEC, 249 of 364 in D1
Trend: Weakly Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 8 of 16 in SEC, 199 of 364 in D1
249th

Note: These are Dean Oliver's Four Factors of Basketball Success. It's fairly intuitive: When a team has the ball, they can do one of 4 things: (1) Get a bucket, (2) Turn the ball over, (3) Shoot the ball, miss, then rebound to retain possession, or (4) Get fouled and either retain possession or head to the line. These four factors are measured by (1) Effective Field Goal percentage (EFG) = (FGM + 0.5*3FGM)/FGA, (2) Turnover Pct = # TOs/Possessions, (3) Offensive Rebounding % = OR/(OR+Opp DR), and (4) Free Throw Rate = FTA/FGA. The stats are repeated on the defensive side using the opponents' numbers.

Adj Off Eff

Season
Avg: 117.77
28th

FGM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 36.9%
220th

FGA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 78.9%
348th

FG Pct

Season
Avg: 46.8%
65th

2Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 58.4%
248th

2PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 24.8%
265th

2PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 46.0%
309th

2Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 54.1%
92nd

3Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 41.6%
117th

3PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 12.1%
110th

3PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 32.9%
176th

3Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 36.4%
51st

FT Rate

Season
Avg: 41.3%
24th

FTM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 25.3%
8th

FTA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 31.7%
31st

FT Pct

Season
Avg: 79.5%
5th

Assists per FGM

Season
Avg: 51.0%
210th

Balls Stolen Per Poss

Season
Avg: 10.3%
283rd

Balls Blocked Per FGA

Season
Avg: 4.8%
242nd

Fouls Drawn Per Poss

Season
Avg: 26.2%
44th

Turnovers

Season
Avg: 16.3%
209th

Off Reb Pct

Season
Avg: 25.1%
304th

Off Tempo

Season
Avg: 70.47
151st

Points per Poss

Season
Avg: 1.11
64th

Shooting

Season
Avg: 0.55
50th

Adj Def Eff

Season
Avg: 98.89
71st

Opp FGM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 36.7%
168th

Opp FGA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 82.5%
128th

Opp FG Pct (%)

Season
Avg: 44.8%
207th

Opp 2Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 58.0%
78th

Opp 2PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 26.3%
205th

Opp 2PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 47.8%
75th

Opp 2Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 55.2%
327th

Opp 3Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 42.0%
287th

Opp 3PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 10.5%
127th

Opp 3PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 34.6%
272nd

Opp 3Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 30.3%
21st

Opp FT Rate

Season
Avg: 36.0%
249th

Opp FTM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 21.3%
266th

Opp FTA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 29.3%
256th

Opp FT Pct

Season
Avg: 72.1%
207th

Opp Assists per FGM

Season
Avg: 46.6%
59th

Steals Per Poss

Season
Avg: 11.0%
72nd

Blocks Per FGA

Season
Avg: 3.3%
324th

Fouls Per Poss

Season
Avg: 26.1%
285th

Opp Turnovers

Season
Avg: 17.3%
91st

Def Reb Pct

Season
Avg: 70.7%
278th

Opp Off Tempo

Season
Avg: 70.82
118th

Opp Points per Poss

Season
Avg: 1.05
205th

Opp Shooting

Season
Avg: 0.5%
189th
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